Simulate
Scenario Simulation
Explore how a public-health signal could evolve under different assumptions. This is scenario analysis, not outbreak prediction.
14 days
How many days forward the demo scenario plays out.
0.40
How strongly nearby LGUs are assumed to influence each other.
0.50
How much recent activity is assumed to carry forward day to day.
Day 8
The day an assumed response/intervention begins in the scenario.
0.50
Assumed starting strength of the signal before the scenario runs.
Modeled reach from Quezon City
Modeled intensity over time
Demonstration model
Not a validated epidemiological forecast.
Starting signal
Elevated
Demo assumption
Simulation horizon
14 days
Areas reached
11
Demo result
Maximum modeled intensity
6.91x
Demo result · day 7